Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.151187 0.180542 0.213582 0.253453 0.300188 0.353156 0.417661
2025-04-13 0.105397 0.141973 0.187843 0.249293 0.329117 0.428927 0.562768
2025-04-20 0.084455 0.124450 0.178786 0.257346 0.367247 0.514619 0.726103
2025-04-27 0.074679 0.118394 0.181750 0.279132 0.423617 0.628316 0.938024
2025-05-04 0.064789 0.109633 0.178461 0.290100 0.464457 0.723519 1.133715
2025-05-11 0.054159 0.097414 0.167448 0.286841 0.482302 0.785608 1.286079
2025-05-18 0.044433 0.084706 0.153299 0.275848 0.485514 0.824256 1.404921
2025-05-25 0.036292 0.073156 0.139053 0.262140 0.481657 0.849978 1.504196
2025-06-01 0.032309 0.068446 0.135872 0.266850 0.509100 0.929183 1.698715
2025-06-08 0.027235 0.060689 0.125876 0.257605 0.510291 0.963097 1.818360
2025-06-15 0.024709 0.057602 0.124220 0.263631 0.539777 1.049075 2.037100
2025-06-22 0.022136 0.053949 0.120864 0.265753 0.561835 1.123307 2.240954
2025-06-29 0.019152 0.049018 0.114502 0.261667 0.572758 1.180711 2.424923
2025-07-06 0.016609 0.044638 0.108682 0.258006 0.584350 1.241176 2.622283
2025-07-13 0.015282 0.042922 0.108458 0.266373 0.621865 1.356271 2.937835
2025-07-20 0.014991 0.043760 0.114210 0.288874 0.692265 1.544549 3.417966
2025-07-27 0.014022 0.042627 0.115092 0.300199 0.739258 1.688791 3.820745
2025-08-03 0.012378 0.039321 0.110113 0.296834 0.752526 1.762809 4.082851
2025-08-10 0.010581 0.035192 0.102357 0.285483 0.745716 1.792392 4.252049
2025-08-17 0.008926 0.031105 0.094006 0.271328 0.730288 1.800981 4.375493
2025-08-24 0.008223 0.029800 0.092998 0.276192 0.762092 1.919776 4.756716
2025-08-31 0.007098 0.026886 0.086971 0.266645 0.756352 1.950675 4.939343
2025-09-07 0.006612 0.025996 0.086664 0.272868 0.792009 2.082919 5.369833